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Martin B's avatar

Will have to give 1929 a go. Really enjoyed 'Too big to fail' his very readable look at the banking crash.

Andy Davies's avatar

Hey Matt

As I write this just down the valley from Bozel, I can see a helicopter shuttling back and forth between a reservoir and a fire that sits in an inaccessible bit of mountain between Meribel and St Martin de Belleville. It's been burning since the 25th like the fire in Bozel but is in a more remote spot and less risky for human infrastructure. They started dropping water on it regularly two days ago while the fight against the fire in Bozel was at its height.

As to why it took so long to take proper action in Bozel, I think it's a bit more nuanced. I haven't seen any of the local coverage talking about the role climate change has played. France is in its third canicule and locally we've seen high temps and low rainfall for months. It's unusual to have fires like this here and we've got two within 15km of each other. The south of France is being ravaged but there is some institutional knowledge and experience down there. I'd guess there is less of that experience in the Savoie. What knowledge there is might well be outdated given the weather conditions we're experiencing now.

I think the initial thought to monitor and wait for rain makes sense for previous climate conditions. We've had rain forecast here on and off for weeks but it often doesn't arrive or is very localised. While it might have been reasonable to expect the fire to be extinguished naturally in the past, we're living in a very different present.

But for the tragic loss of a 22 year old volunteer fire-fighter, this would represent a vital and almost perfect wake up call to local authorities. With 5000 people stranded in Pralognan due to the road closure (likely until next weekend now) and a visual touchstone for all to see, this should be the opportunity for a reckoning of sorts. Episodes like this are made more likely by climate change. They are likely to become more frequent and potentially more consequential.

It’s possible that the fire above Planay could be the beginning of a change. It follows a year of incredible instability in the snow pack. We could start joining these things together and taking action. There is an opportunity to start to cut down the emissions that come from our locality. Local building projects could be mandated to be regenerative rather than concrete and extractive. They could introduce a ULEZ type scheme for the local valleys to cut vehicle emissions year round. Transport links could be upgraded to help de-carbonise arriving and departing here.

Sadly I don’t think the fire will be the catalyst for change this time round. I think we’ll need it to happen more regularly for people to take note and take action.

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